Maclean's Seat Prediction
Posted to Jim Elve's Group Election Blog.
In this week's issue of Maclean's there is an article entitled “Gut-Check Time” which contains a seat prediction:
“According to an analysis done for Maclean's by the Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy, at Wilfrid Laurier University, polls conducted just after the sponsorship affair exploded translate into only 149 seats for the Liberals.”
The seat prediction in the magazine is detailed as follows:
The Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy's website can be seen here and contains more details on the above prediction and has links to a history of polling data in all the regions of the country.
In this week's issue of Maclean's there is an article entitled “Gut-Check Time” which contains a seat prediction:
“According to an analysis done for Maclean's by the Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy, at Wilfrid Laurier University, polls conducted just after the sponsorship affair exploded translate into only 149 seats for the Liberals.”
The seat prediction in the magazine is detailed as follows:
| Party Seats Won in 2000 | What pre-scandal polls show they'd win | What post-scandal polls showed
| |
| Liberals | 172 | 213 | 149
|
| Conservatives | 78* | 47 | 85
|
| NDP | 13 | 15 | 21
|
| Bloc | 38 | 33 | 53
|
The Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy's website can be seen here and contains more details on the above prediction and has links to a history of polling data in all the regions of the country.
